I've been picking since week 8 with a 36-25 record, I think this is more luck than skill but it's still fun.
Here's my picks for Week 16:
SD +2.5 over TEN
BUF +7 over ATL
KC +13.5 over CIN
HOU +3 over MIA
TB +16 over NO
CAR +7 over NYG
BAL +2 over PIT
IND -7 over NYJ
WAS +6 over DAL
Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Giants Blog: Mark DeRosa?
SI.com reports that the Giants have offered Mark DeRosa a 2 year $12 million deal. With Renteria and Sanchez (hopefully) getting the vast majority of playing time in the middle infield next year, it seems like he's going to be the Juan Uribe of 2010 if we sign him.
Uribe hit .289/.302/.423 with slightly below average defense all around the infield last year. FanGraphs says that Bill James projects DeRosa to hit .260/.335/.418 and he's been a slightly below average defender in his career. So if DeRosa's going to be our Uribe this year, he'll be more than adequate. He could also make a nice platoon partner for Ishikawa at first base.
Overall, if we could get DeRosa for this price (unlikely) it would make a nice pickup that hopefully leaves us enough money to sign an outfielder. Maybe this is a signal that we're more worried about our outfield than first base which would be a nice sign.
Uribe hit .289/.302/.423 with slightly below average defense all around the infield last year. FanGraphs says that Bill James projects DeRosa to hit .260/.335/.418 and he's been a slightly below average defender in his career. So if DeRosa's going to be our Uribe this year, he'll be more than adequate. He could also make a nice platoon partner for Ishikawa at first base.
Overall, if we could get DeRosa for this price (unlikely) it would make a nice pickup that hopefully leaves us enough money to sign an outfielder. Maybe this is a signal that we're more worried about our outfield than first base which would be a nice sign.
Poker: The Worst Hand I've Ever Played
I'm sure it's not THE worst, but going through old hands I almost vomited replaying this one:
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
CO ($17.85)
Button ($100.45)
SB ($39.45)
BB ($58.70)
Villain (UTG) ($25)
Hero (MP) ($24.65)
Preflop: Hero is MP with 3
, A
Villain bets $1, Hero calls $1, 4 folds
Flop: ($2.35) 5, J
, 3 (2 players)
Villain bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50
Turn: ($5.35) A
(2 players)
Villain checks, Hero checks
River: ($5.35) Q
(2 players)
Villain bets $5, Hero raises $10, Villain raises $17.50 (All-In), Hero calls $12.15 (All-In)
Total pot: $49.65
So I float the flop to take the pot on the turn. I turn (what figures to be) the best hand and inexplicably fail to value bet it. That's the first mistake. The biggest mistakes are on the river of course:
I made 2 mistakes here: the raise to $10 and the all-in call.
First the raise: Why on earth am I raising here? I must have been thinking "I have 2 pair let's get more money in." This is such an awful mistake. Instead of raising because my cards are good, you have to think about what you're hoping to accomplish. There are 2 reasons to raise: to make him call with a hand I beat or fold a hand that beats me. I can't achieve either of these in this situation because if he has a worse than mine (worse 2 pair or a bluff) he's going to fold. If he has a hand better than mine (a set, better 2 pair) he's going to call or reraise. If I think my 2 pair here is the best hand, I should call and not raise.
Second the all-in call: As I said in the first part, if he has a hand that's worse than my 2 pair, he's going to fold. He didn't fold, he went all-in. Therefore, his hand is better than mine. I called. Gross.
Hopefully I learned something here, either about raising on the river or about how bad I am at poker. The real lesson here is that it's important to go over old hands and think about them sometimes. You can learn from your mistakes or feel good about how you can recognize that a play you made was terrible.
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
CO ($17.85)
Button ($100.45)
SB ($39.45)
BB ($58.70)
Villain (UTG) ($25)
Hero (MP) ($24.65)
Preflop: Hero is MP with 3
, AVillain bets $1, Hero calls $1, 4 folds
Flop: ($2.35) 5
, J, 3 (2 players)Villain bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50
Turn: ($5.35) A
(2 players)Villain checks, Hero checks
River: ($5.35) Q
(2 players)Villain bets $5, Hero raises $10, Villain raises $17.50 (All-In), Hero calls $12.15 (All-In)
Total pot: $49.65
So I float the flop to take the pot on the turn. I turn (what figures to be) the best hand and inexplicably fail to value bet it. That's the first mistake. The biggest mistakes are on the river of course:
I made 2 mistakes here: the raise to $10 and the all-in call.
First the raise: Why on earth am I raising here? I must have been thinking "I have 2 pair let's get more money in." This is such an awful mistake. Instead of raising because my cards are good, you have to think about what you're hoping to accomplish. There are 2 reasons to raise: to make him call with a hand I beat or fold a hand that beats me. I can't achieve either of these in this situation because if he has a worse than mine (worse 2 pair or a bluff) he's going to fold. If he has a hand better than mine (a set, better 2 pair) he's going to call or reraise. If I think my 2 pair here is the best hand, I should call and not raise.
Second the all-in call: As I said in the first part, if he has a hand that's worse than my 2 pair, he's going to fold. He didn't fold, he went all-in. Therefore, his hand is better than mine. I called. Gross.
Hopefully I learned something here, either about raising on the river or about how bad I am at poker. The real lesson here is that it's important to go over old hands and think about them sometimes. You can learn from your mistakes or feel good about how you can recognize that a play you made was terrible.
Frist Poast
Welcome to my blog. I will write about three things. Poker, Sports, and Misc. Items. More of the first two than the third. Why? Boredom, and I feel like I'm not contributing enough to the inter-webs. About me: I'm a 21 year old student who spends 80% of my time playing cards, 10% watching sports, and 10% doing important things.
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